[The Weeping Angel]

In some good news

[mattomac]

Polls are pretty much tied up as well.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_p ... l_election

[Yug]

RacistUK down, Greens down, Lib Dems down. Could populism be losing its popularity? Let's hope so.

[Oboogie]

RacistUK down, Greens down, Lib Dems down. Could populism be losing its popularity? Let's hope so.

Hopefully, although the timing's unfortunate for Labour.

[Boiler]

Screenshot 2026-07-27 at 16-44-06.png (107.39 KiB) Viewed 1162 times

[Tubby Isaacs]

The Reform plus Tory score there is uncomfortably high. For all the claims made for PR, that would give them a good chance of forming the government.

[davidjay]

The Reform plus Tory score there is uncomfortably high. For all the claims made for PR, that would give them a good chance of forming the government.

And they'll do a deal before you can say "Merger".

[Tubby Isaacs]

That's what I'm worried about. While the Greens stand candidates v Labour everywhere because "complicity in genocide" or something.

Anyway, I thought the Greens were the real opposition to Reform. On that poll they seem to be 5th.

[davidjay]

Never forget that the Tories will do deals with anyone in order to win elections and the Left will fall out with anyone in order to lose them.

[Malcolm Armsteen]

Bev Craig elected in Manchester, on a truly pitiful turnout.

Craig (Labour): 309,535 - 66.3%
Astley (Reform): 157,178 - 33.7%

[Tubby Isaacs]

The polling was accurate then. The Tories came 5th. Reform didn’t get all the second preferences they might have done from Restore and the Tories. Wonder which group held back?

[The Weeping Angel]

Don't worry, Kemi's come out against net zero.

[Bones McCoy]

I wonder whether the uncomfortable element of voter intelligence was in play with those transfers.

I'm far form on board with social Darwinism (misnamed) or eugenics.
But I do hark back to the earliest Scottish elections held with transferrable votes.

They didn't run as predicted with around sixty percent of voters rolling up and marking their X as usual.
A lower than expected proportion of votes were transferred and counting ended earlier than expected.

Post analysis showed a greater proportion in the posh areas had read the instructions or listened to the information broadcasts and numbered down 1, 2, 3.

Shift this to Greater Manchester and consider the typical Restore/Reform aligned voter - or Tory who'd consider them a credible second place. T.A.P.S?


Other causes also spring to mind.
* Traditional Ken Clarke / Michael Heseltine Tories who consider N.F. beyond the pale.
* New "Move fast break stuff" Tories who think N.F's star is setting - scandal and all that.
* Restore hard men with internicine distain for Reform "softies".


I say Let them fight!

[Malcolm Armsteen]

Reform = TAPS.