Mailwatch(ed) Forum

At which point no fucks will be given apart from by a few in the scribbling class. Same goes for the Russian mob as they potentially edge towards a humungous 1.4% of seats.

That bar chart is awful….

San fairy ann...

Abernathy wrote: ↑Wed Feb 04, 2026 9:54 pm But now? So many factors in play. I genuinely have not the first clue who will win this contest.

The Weeping Angel wrote: ↑Wed Feb 04, 2026 10:08 pm I reckon the sodding Greens will win it.

Not the end of the world if that's the price for Reform losing. Greens have a likeable local councillor who can appeal to pissed off Labour voters. And if they can eat into Reform's anti politics dustbin vote than even better. Goodwin is a shiver looking for a spine to run up.

Reform losing would be great, but having to put up with Zack Polanski being even more of a smug arsehole is hardly any better.

And then there's this guy:

Advance UK’s by-election candidate: ‘Many young British women are whores’

Nick Buckley, the Advance UK candidate in the Gorton and Denton by-election, has posted a series of social media messages where he makes hugely insulting and derogatory claims about women.

In May 2025, Buckley wrote on X: “Many British young women are whores but don’t realise they are.”

In the same post, he claimed that “the days of morality & decorum are over,” adding that young women “make poor wives & poor mothers.” He further stated that they “contribute to the idea that all women are easy & can be abused.”

There are many such posts in his X feed. In one, he claimed that “feminism has NOTHING to do with the welfare of women,” describing it instead as “a Trade Union for ungrateful underperforming Western women” and asserting that “the more feminist policies we have, the more unhappy women become.”

pROtecTin aRe WiMIn An guRlz

That Buckley guy is a prolific Xer, he doesn't come across as very well in the head. High on the same supply as Ant Middleton.

Samanfur wrote: ↑Thu Feb 05, 2026 11:08 am And then there's this guy:

Advance UK’s by-election candidate: ‘Many young British women are whores’

Nick Buckley, the Advance UK candidate in the Gorton and Denton by-election, has posted a series of social media messages where he makes hugely insulting and derogatory claims about women.

In May 2025, Buckley wrote on X: “Many British young women are whores but don’t realise they are.”

In the same post, he claimed that “the days of morality & decorum are over,” adding that young women “make poor wives & poor mothers.” He further stated that they “contribute to the idea that all women are easy & can be abused.”

There are many such posts in his X feed. In one, he claimed that “feminism has NOTHING to do with the welfare of women,” describing it instead as “a Trade Union for ungrateful underperforming Western women” and asserting that “the more feminist policies we have, the more unhappy women become.”

Not like that nice Ms Braun

The Weeping Angel wrote: ↑Thu Feb 05, 2026 11:00 am Reform losing would be great, but having to put up with Zack Polanski being even more of a smug arsehole is hardly any better.

He'll get found out. I can live with him winning.

With the huge caveat that Find Out Now are a poorly rated pollster and constituency by-election polls are extremely hard to get right.

On 25th to 27th January Find Out Now ran a poll of Gorton and Denton residents on behalf of Betterworld Ltd, ahead of the scheduled by-election, weighted to be representative by age, gender and 2024 General Election vote.

Final headline voting intention figures [excluding ‘Don’t know’]:

Reform UK: 36%
Labour Party: 33%
Green Party: 21%
Conservative Party: 8%
Liberal Democrats: 3%
Other: 0%

Though I don't like Polanski as a political operator at all (you may have already gathered) I couldn't really blame him for trying to win a by-election. But hey, I'd give him stick if this happened anyway, Could be useful to Labour in the long run.

Some people are saying that the Greens are really campaigning on abolishing tuition fees in Gorton and Reddish. It's not a particularly student area, so would be surprised if they got that many votes out of it. If I were them, I'd go for schools and pre-school as the priority. I noticed that Angela Rayner, with almost unique life experience, has argued for this.

But I'm sure it's a more promising message than their views on the economy, immigration and defence.

Tubby Isaacs wrote: ↑Fri Feb 06, 2026 1:10 pm With the huge caveat that Find Out Now are a poorly rated pollster and constituency by-election polls are extremely hard to get right.

On 25th to 27th January Find Out Now ran a poll of Gorton and Denton residents on behalf of Betterworld Ltd, ahead of the scheduled by-election, weighted to be representative by age, gender and 2024 General Election vote.

Final headline voting intention figures [excluding ‘Don’t know’]:

Reform UK: 36%
Labour Party: 33%
Green Party: 21%
Conservative Party: 8%
Liberal Democrats: 3%
Other: 0%

Though I don't like Polanski as a political operator at all (you may have already gathered) I couldn't really blame him for trying to win a by-election. But hey, I'd give him stick if this happened anyway, Could be useful to Labour in the long run.

That poll is dubious as it turns out it only contained 51 people.

Oh Christ.

What? In reaction to the poll or?

Anyhow they were about 3-4% out with their poll in Runcorn, in which they record Labour poorly, which I ironically think is the case in their national polls.

Find Out Now, I think, disregard Don't Know voters. This tends to disadvantage the incumbents because they're more likely to lose voters to don't know and get them back in a General Election (or perhaps a by-election where Nigel Farage has been putting him in your face).

I think other posters count some don't knows as voters for parties they supported in the election.

Basically they discounted the DKs in this poll and it reduced it from 150 to 50.

Was at 18% by the way, anyhow I doubt it’s much use anyway if it ever was. Labour wouldn’t get steam from piss after the overdrive of the press this week.

Every letter is addressed, both on the envelope and at the head of the letter, to the residents of the property, by name, suggesting whoever sent them has access to the electoral register. One recipient of the letter who wrote in, told us that the name on her letter was indeed her real name – but not the name that any of her friends (or neighbours) know her by. This same recipient has opted out of the Open Register, meaning that her name should only be accessible to political parties or their agents for legitimate campaigning purposes. Crucially, not one person we spoke to knew of a Patricia Clegg in the area. “Just to be clear, I have no idea who she is and if she is even real,” wrote one recipient.

We have found a Patricia Clegg on Facebook: 74, as the letter claims, a Reform voter judging by her comments (though there is no indication that she previously supported Labour), and with family in Tameside. We reached out but she has not yet responded.

However, whether Patricia exists or not doesn’t affect the legality of the potential issue at hand. According to the Representation of the People Act 1983, “any material which can reasonably be regarded as intended to promote or procure the election of a candidate” must include the name and address of the printer of the document, the promoter of the material (ie. the Party involved) and the person on behalf of whom the material is being published (ie. the candidate). There is no indication on the letter that it has been sent by Reform, or on behalf of its candidate Matthew Goodwin. And, as local councillor Julie Reid pointed out to us, “if she’s got names and addresses, then she’s got access to the electoral register.” Only political parties legally have access to this register.

https://manchestermill.co.uk/exclusive- ... on-denton/

Yeah blaming the printing company but effectively it’s your responsibility to get it right, they don’t fly out from the printing company to a persons address.

No one checked and if they did for some reason they didn’t think it would be an issue.

These types of letters have been common for a while, ex Labour voter probably means voting Labour in a council election in 1973.

Though it’s questionable whether they even exist.

Depressingly, she does. The Guardian found her.