[Youngian]

Corbyn’s effectively taking a bullet for the party by triggering his own expulsion. That’s a first.

[Arrowhead]

I think Corbyn will probably win this, but I suspect the Labour leadership won't be especially bothered overall. Losing Islington North but regaining, say, Mansfield, Hartlepool, Bassetlaw etc from the Tories isn't a bad trade in the long run.

Same as Reform winning in their Boston & Skegness comfort zone, or the Greens likewise winning Bristol Central tells us very little overall.

[Abernathy]

Personal votes for MPs standing as independents are nearly always over-estimated. Corbyn's personal vote in Islington North is no different. He might run Prafun Nargul fairly close, but I don't think he can win. Voters in Islington North want a Labour government and the Tories out. Voting for Corbyn isn't going to help get that.

[Youngian]

The hopeless hope candidate

[Abernathy]

Forever shouting into the darkness.

[Tubby Isaacs]

I'm not sure this stuff goes down that well at the moment, even in Islington North. At least, I hope it doesn't. He might reasonably ask some Ukrainians about it.

[Crabcakes]

The hopeless hope candidate

Specifically, “I hope I’m as personally popular as I’ve been told I am, or this is going to get a bit awkward…”

[Youngian]

Putin is the existential threat and somewhat concerned as to how much the construction of four nuclear subs announced by Starmer would eat into the defence budget. I’m assuming Russia can detect and track subs in the Baltic so it’s a lot of money for questionable effectiveness just to reassure the public you’re not Michael Foot.