- Wed Feb 18, 2026 6:15 pm
#106252
Inflation is down.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5yg04jg1n5o
UK inflation fell to 3% in January, down from 3.4% in December, driven by food, fuel and airfares.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5yg04jg1n5o
UK inflation fell to 3% in January, down from 3.4% in December, driven by food, fuel and airfares.
Economists said the decrease raised the likelihood the Bank of England will cut interest rates at its March monetary policy meeting.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the "marked" fall in January took inflation to its lowest rate since March 2025.
Although the rate of inflation has fallen, prices themselves are not coming down, but simply rising at a slower pace.
ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said: "Inflation fell markedly in January to its lowest annual rate since March last year, driven partly by a decrease in petrol prices.
"Airfares were another downward driver this month with prices dropping back following the increase in December."
But he added that lower costs for bread, cereals and meat were partially offset by the cost of hotel stays and takeaways.
Wednesday's fall in inflation, coming after figures showed a slowdown in wage growth, makes it more likely the Bank of England will cut its key interest rate - currently set at 3.75%.
Economists are expecting inflation to fall further in the coming months, with the government cutting household energy bills from April. Forecasters Cornwall Insight predicted the measure would help lower the energy price cap for a typical household by £117 to £1,641 from April.
KPMG chief economist Yael Selfin said: "Given the favourable inflation outlook, the Bank is expected to cut interest rates three times this year, leaving interest rates at 3% by the end of 2026."

- By Youngian